CRI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CRI - Carter's Inc.
$40.65
-0.49 (-1.19%)
▼
5d:
-5.66%
30d:
+2.14%
90d:
+14.22%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 24, 2026
19d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CRI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CRI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$62.57
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$38.85
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CRI is currently trading at $40.65, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $39.00 to $42.35. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.1) is in line with its historical norms (11.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $36.90, while resistance sits at $43.62.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $36.90, while resistance sits at $43.62.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$39.00 -
$42.35
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($42.67)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.7% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$39.00 -
$42.35
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$36.90
Resistance Level
$43.62
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 17, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.12
Wall Street Target
$42.67
(+5.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-9.3%
Profit Margin
3.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.1 vs 11.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$39.92
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$39.20
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$38.49
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→12)
$40.48
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.9%)
$111.56
(+174%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.1, Growth: 11.9%)
$56.98
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.5, Growth: 11.9%)
$48.44
(+19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.52 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.49
Bull Case
$66.41
(+63%)
Analyst growth 46.7%, PE expands to 18.2
Base Case
$60.37
(+49%)
Market implied 46.7%, PE stable at 16.5
Bear Case
$27.98
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.1 to 11.7
Stabilization Target:
$42.75
(+5.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 12:16 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:16 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:16 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CRI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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