CRI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CRI - Carter's Inc.
$35.13
1.67 (4.99%)
▲
5d:
+7.33%
30d:
-8.78%
90d:
-13.9%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CRI trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -8.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CRI trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -8.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$63.71
Based on 8.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.56
11.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CRI is currently trading at $35.13, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.88 to $37.87. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.3) compared to its historical average (12.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $32.16, while resistance sits at $39.47. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.67 (+21.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $32.16, while resistance sits at $39.47. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.67 (+21.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$33.88 -
$37.87
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 21.5% below Wall St target ($40.67)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$33.88 -
$37.87
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$32.16
Resistance Level
$39.47
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.27
Wall Street Target
$40.67
(+21.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-9.3%
Profit Margin
3.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.3 vs 12.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.72
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$28.20
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$25.89
(-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→12)
$33.52
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 12.1%)
$112.21
(+235%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.3, Growth: 12.1%)
$47.11
(+41%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.9, Growth: 12.1%)
$40.04
(+20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.56 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.49
Bull Case
$53.86
(+61%)
Analyst growth 45.0%, PE expands to 14.9
Base Case
$48.96
(+46%)
Market implied 45.0%, PE stable at 13.6
Bear Case
$22.96
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.3 to 12.0
Stabilization Target:
$43.33
(+29.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+29.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 12:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:53 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CRI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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