CROX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CROX - Crocs, Inc.
$83.92
1.41 (1.71%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 12, 2026
12d
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1 traders called CROX this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CROX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CROX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$91.44
Based on 1.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$56.78
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CROX is currently trading at $83.92, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $83.42 to $88.27. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.9) is in line with its historical norms (7.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CROX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $81.00, while resistance sits at $87.00.
Market Sentiment: CROX has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (18th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CROX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $81.00, while resistance sits at $87.00.
Market Sentiment: CROX has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (18th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$83.42 -
$88.27
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
18th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 18th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($89.75)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$83.42 -
$88.27
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$5.75
(6.9%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$81.00
Resistance Level
$87.00
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.91
Wall Street Target
$89.75
(+8.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-6.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-19.6%
Profit Margin
4.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.9 vs 7.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$81.27
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$80.05
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$78.85
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
$82.20
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -1.5%)
$254.22
(+208%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.9, Growth: -1.5%)
$78.73
(-5%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.9, Growth: -1.5%)
$66.92
(-19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.22 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.88
Bull Case
$185.13
(+124%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 32.1
Base Case
$168.30
(+104%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 29.2
Bear Case
$57.22
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.9 to 7.2
Stabilization Target:
$86.02
(+4.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.3%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:59 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:59 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CROX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Susan L Healy
BUY
2000 shares
2025-08-12
John B Replogle
BUY
3261 shares
2025-08-08
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Advanced CROX Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CROX price and gamma walls.
