CSCO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CSCO - Cisco Systems, Inc. Common Stock (DE)
$77.04
-2.88 (-3.60%)
▼
5d:
-2.26%
30d:
-3.05%
90d:
-1.43%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 13, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
CSCO is down 10.4% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $85 2026-03-20 with 28,126 OI. Call ratio: 65% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CSCO shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CSCO shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$109.29
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$67.86
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CSCO is currently trading at $77.04, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $77.51 to $80.24. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.7) is in line with its historical norms (17.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 31.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSCO is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $76.71. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: CSCO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $88.81 (+11.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSCO is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $76.71. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: CSCO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $88.81 (+11.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$77.51 -
$80.24
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($88.81)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$77.51 -
$80.24
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$76.71
Resistance Level
$83.11
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.70
Wall Street Target
$88.81
(+11.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
31.2%
Profit Margin
18.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.7 vs 17.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$79.68
(0%)
2-Year Target
$79.44
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$79.20
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→18)
$79.66
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 8.7%)
$129.75
(+62%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.7, Growth: 8.7%)
$102.51
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.0, Growth: 8.7%)
$87.13
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.93 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.78
Bull Case
$138.75
(+76%)
Analyst growth 62.4%, PE expands to 30.7
Base Case
$126.13
(+60%)
Market implied 62.4%, PE stable at 27.9
Bear Case
$52.80
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.7 to 17.8
Stabilization Target:
$80.38
(+0.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 4:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:30 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:30 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CSCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
18
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Thimaya K Subaiya
SELL
1744 shares
2026-03-12
Maria Victoria Wong
SELL
551 shares
2026-03-11
Maria Victoria Wong
SELL
2179 shares
2026-02-24
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Advanced CSCO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CSCO price and gamma walls.
