HPE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HPE - Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company
$41.23
-2.72 (-6.19%)
▼
5d:
-11.75%
30d:
-26.57%
90d:
+71.93%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 01, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
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Strength: 8.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: HPE is down 11.8% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: HPE is down 11.8% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$65.07
Based on 10.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.41
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HPE is currently trading at $41.23, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $42.13 to $51.24. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.3) is in line with its historical norms (9.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HPE is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $40.72. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $64.13 (+55.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HPE is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $40.72. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $64.13 (+55.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$42.13 -
$51.24
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HPE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 55.5% below Wall St target ($64.13)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.5% growth with 40.0% revenue growth
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -11.8% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$42.13 -
$51.24
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$40.72
Resistance Level
$50.20
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.31
Wall Street Target
$64.13
(+55.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
40.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-30.3%
Profit Margin
4.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.5% premium
PE vs Historical
10.3 vs 9.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$41.85
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$42.48
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$43.11
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$41.39
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 17.1%)
$140.00
(+240%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.3, Growth: 17.1%)
$66.28
(+61%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.8, Growth: 17.1%)
$56.34
(+37%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (41x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 41.07 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.07
Bull Case
$96.69
(+135%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 45.2
Base Case
$87.90
(+113%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 41.1
Bear Case
$29.89
(-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 10:24 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:24 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:24 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HPE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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