CVX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CVX - Chevron Corporation
$191.43
0.42 (0.22%)
▲
5d:
+0.17%
30d:
+2.04%
90d:
+3.53%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 31, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.0/10
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6 traders called CVX this week
45% bullish • 6 bearish
45% bullish • 6 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CVX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CVX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$190.24
Based on -4.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$118.12
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CVX is currently trading at $191.43, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $184.35 to $192.27. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.7) compared to its historical average (19.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $183.00, while resistance sits at $198.87.
Market Sentiment: CVX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $214.87 (+12.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $183.00, while resistance sits at $198.87.
Market Sentiment: CVX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $214.87 (+12.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$184.35 -
$192.27
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($214.87)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$184.35 -
$192.27
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$183.00
Resistance Level
$198.87
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.69
Wall Street Target
$214.87
(+12.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-44.5%
Profit Margin
5.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.7 vs 19.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$178.22
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$165.92
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$154.48
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→20)
$192.00
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: -12.4%)
$195.60
(+2%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.7, Growth: -12.4%)
$139.55
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.3, Growth: -12.4%)
$118.62
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.22 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.75
Bull Case
$420.22
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 36.5
Base Case
$382.02
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 33.2
Bear Case
$129.89
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.7 to 19.5
Stabilization Target:
$237.94
(+24.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+24.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 26, 2026 7:25 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:25 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:25 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is CVX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
19
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
R. Hewitt Pate
SELL
40200 shares
2026-03-30
David Taylor
SELL
2026-03-12
David Taylor
SELL
2026-03-11
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CVX price and gamma walls.
