DE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DE - Deere & Company
$528.00
-2.07 (-0.39%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 12, 2026
11d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$998.16
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$619.78
14.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DE is currently trading at $528.00, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $472.11 to $519.43. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.0) is in line with its historical norms (23.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DE is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $537.26. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DE is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $537.26. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$472.11 -
$519.43
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($528.26)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.2% growth with 12.6% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$472.11 -
$519.43
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$506.42
Resistance Level
$537.26
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.99
Wall Street Target
$528.26
(-0.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-13.7%
Profit Margin
11.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.2% premium
PE vs Historical
24.0 vs 23.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$536.43
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$542.87
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$549.38
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→23)
PE COMPRESSION
$531.25
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.0, Growth: 32.6%)
$1235.90
(+133%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 32.6%)
$1148.74
(+117%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 32.6%)
$976.43
(+84%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.41 | Current EPS (TTM): $18.48
Bull Case
$690.44
(+31%)
Analyst growth 19.6%, PE expands to 31.3
Base Case
$627.67
(+19%)
Market implied 19.6%, PE stable at 28.4
Bear Case
$357.01
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:36 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:36 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Val T. Hoyle
SELL
2025-09-23
Julie Johnson
SELL
2025-08-14
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DE price and gamma walls.
