DE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DE - Deere & Company
$575.71
5.01 (0.88%)
▲
5d:
-0.94%
30d:
-6.24%
90d:
+23.66%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 21, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
DE is up 9.0% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $680 2026-04-17 with 165 OI. Put ratio: 61% View Scanner →
Strength: 5.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: DE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1108.64
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$688.38
16.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DE is currently trading at $575.71, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $565.53 to $616.98. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.9) is in line with its historical norms (24.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $590.69. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DE has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $668.14 (+16.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $590.69. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DE has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $668.14 (+16.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$565.53 -
$616.98
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding DE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($668.14)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.4% growth with 13.0% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$565.53 -
$616.98
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$549.68
Resistance Level
$590.69
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.88
Wall Street Target
$668.14
(+16.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-24.1%
Profit Margin
10.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
24.9 vs 24.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$578.01
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$580.32
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$582.65
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→25)
PE COMPRESSION
$576.16
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.9, Growth: 28.8%)
$1230.01
(+114%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.6, Growth: 28.8%)
$1017.06
(+77%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.5, Growth: 28.8%)
$864.50
(+50%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.55 | Current EPS (TTM): $17.74
Bull Case
$803.71
(+41%)
Analyst growth 30.5%, PE expands to 34.7
Base Case
$730.65
(+28%)
Market implied 30.5%, PE stable at 31.6
Bear Case
$380.62
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 05, 2026 1:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:22 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:22 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-17
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BUY
2026-01-29
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-01-23
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Advanced DE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DE price and gamma walls.
