DPZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DPZ - Domino's Pizza Inc.
$352.94
4.80 (1.38%)
▲
5d:
-3.78%
30d:
-12.32%
90d:
-17.06%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 27, 2026
26d
Smart Money Distribution
DPZ is up 3.6% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $380 2026-05-15 with 165 OI. Put ratio: 66% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DPZ shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: DPZ shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$590.39
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$366.59
3.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DPZ is currently trading at $352.94, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $369.40 to $408.15. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.3) compared to its historical average (20.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 30.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DPZ is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $346.31. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: DPZ has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $478.58 (+35.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DPZ is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $346.31. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: DPZ has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $478.58 (+35.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$369.40 -
$408.15
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding DPZ? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 35.6% below Wall St target ($478.58)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$369.40 -
$408.15
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$346.31
Resistance Level
$398.18
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.34
Wall Street Target
$478.58
(+35.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
30.1%
Profit Margin
12.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.3 vs 20.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$329.65
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$307.89
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$287.57
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→20)
$353.80
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 8.7%)
$620.09
(+76%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.3, Growth: 8.7%)
$453.26
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.9, Growth: 8.7%)
$385.27
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.24 | Current EPS (TTM): $17.58
Bull Case
$504.68
(+38%)
Analyst growth 22.9%, PE expands to 23.4
Base Case
$458.80
(+25%)
Market implied 22.9%, PE stable at 21.2
Bear Case
$253.88
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.3 to 20.1
Stabilization Target:
$434.23
(+23.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+23.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 12:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:11 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:11 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DPZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
2
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-17
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-02-10
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-05
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Advanced DPZ Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DPZ price and gamma walls.
