DRI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DRI - Darden Restaurants, Inc.
$195.05
2.56 (1.33%)
▲
5d:
-0.47%
30d:
-8.79%
90d:
+3.55%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 25, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DRI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: DRI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$265.01
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$164.55
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DRI is currently trading at $195.05, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $199.62 to $213.15. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.2) is in line with its historical norms (17.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DRI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $191.68. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: DRI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $225.89 (+15.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DRI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $191.68. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: DRI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $225.89 (+15.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$199.62 -
$213.15
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
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Holding DRI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($225.89)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$199.62 -
$213.15
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$191.68
Resistance Level
$210.98
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.16
Wall Street Target
$225.89
(+15.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.3%
Profit Margin
8.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.2 vs 17.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$192.71
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$190.40
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$188.11
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→18)
$195.14
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 7.1%)
$311.97
(+60%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.2, Growth: 7.1%)
$239.51
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.6, Growth: 7.1%)
$203.58
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.28 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.54
Bull Case
$266.72
(+36%)
Analyst growth 19.4%, PE expands to 23.4
Base Case
$242.47
(+24%)
Market implied 19.4%, PE stable at 21.3
Bear Case
$138.07
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.2 to 17.8
Stabilization Target:
$202.34
(+3.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 6:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:10 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is DRI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-01-29
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-01-23
John W Wilkerson
SELL
2258 shares
2026-01-16
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