DRVN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DRVN - Driven Brands Holdings Inc. Common Stock
$12.17
-0.43 (-3.41%)
▼
5d:
+4.46%
30d:
+10.64%
90d:
-17.88%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Feb 25, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: DRVN appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -3.7% annual earnings decline despite 57% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: DRVN appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -3.7% annual earnings decline despite 57% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.71
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.24
0.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DRVN is currently trading at $12.17, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.85 to $14.12. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.1) compared to its historical average (10.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 56.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DRVN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.27, while resistance sits at $13.54. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: DRVN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.14 (+57.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DRVN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.27, while resistance sits at $13.54. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: DRVN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.14 (+57.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$9.85 -
$14.12
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 57.3% below Wall St target ($19.14)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$9.85 -
$14.12
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.27
Resistance Level
$13.54
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.07
Wall Street Target
$19.14
(+57.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
56.9%
Profit Margin
-8.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.1 vs 10.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.72
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$11.29
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$10.87
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→10)
$12.22
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 11.2%)
$41.21
(+239%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.1, Growth: 11.2%)
$16.73
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.7, Growth: 11.2%)
$14.22
(+17%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.1 to 10.2
Stabilization Target:
$13.68
(+12.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 5:45 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:45 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:45 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DRVN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Scott L O'melia
SELL
46875 shares
2026-01-21
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