DY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

DY - Dycom Industries, Inc.

Water, Sewer, Pipeline, Comm & Power Line Construction
$364.39
-1.08 (-0.30%) ▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 25, 2026 24d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.7% decline. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$664.43
Based on 14.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$412.56
11.7% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DY is currently trading at $364.39, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $344.15 to $369.46. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 26.4) compared to its historical average (31.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 53.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DY is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $358.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $405.55 (+11.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range $344.15 - $369.46
Company Quality Score 61/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 70.0%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($405.55)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $344.15 - $369.46
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$17.40 (4.8%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $358.00
Resistance Level $386.94
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 26.44
Wall Street Target $405.55 (+11.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 14.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 53.2%
Profit Margin 5.8%
Valuation Discount vs History -5.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 26.4 vs 31.6 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -5.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $344.64 (-6%)
2-Year Target $324.99 (-11%)
3-Year Target $306.47 (-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 26→32) $366.22 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 26.4, Growth: 24.4%) $704.42 (+93%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 24.4%) $594.03 (+63%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 24.4%) $504.93 (+38%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 36.38 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.17
Bull Case $553.08 (+52%)
Analyst growth 35.9%, PE expands to 40.0
Base Case $502.80 (+38%)
Market implied 35.9%, PE stable at 36.4
Bear Case $251.59 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 26.4 to 31.6
Stabilization Target: $436.73 (+19.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +19.5%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 12:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:59 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced DY Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DY price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

More Analysis for DY

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