ACM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ACM - Aecom
$71.00
0.48 (0.68%)
▲
5d:
-12.85%
30d:
-17.89%
90d:
-19.67%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 11, 2026
0d
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2 traders called ACM this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ACM is down 12.9% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ACM is down 12.9% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$141.21
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$87.68
19.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ACM is currently trading at $71.00, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $77.80 to $86.73. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.7) compared to its historical average (14.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 28.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $67.64, while resistance sits at $85.82.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $119.21 (+67.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $67.64, while resistance sits at $85.82.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $119.21 (+67.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$77.80 -
$86.73
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 67.9% below Wall St target ($119.21)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -12.9% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$77.80 -
$86.73
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$67.64
Resistance Level
$85.82
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.72
Wall Street Target
$119.21
(+67.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
28.5%
Profit Margin
3.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.7 vs 14.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$63.90
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$57.51
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$51.76
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→15)
$71.47
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 11.2%)
$200.97
(+183%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.7, Growth: 11.2%)
$97.73
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.1, Growth: 11.2%)
$83.07
(+17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.72 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.79
Bull Case
$107.28
(+51%)
Analyst growth 38.3%, PE expands to 16.2
Base Case
$97.53
(+37%)
Market implied 38.3%, PE stable at 14.7
Bear Case
$47.95
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.7 to 14.8
Stabilization Target:
$98.04
(+38.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+38.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 7:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:19 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:19 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ACM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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