ACM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ACM - Aecom
$67.74
0.88 (1.32%)
▲
5d:
-3.42%
30d:
-5.18%
90d:
-20.96%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
29d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ACM appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -9.9% annual earnings decline despite 28% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ACM appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -9.9% annual earnings decline despite 28% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$136.33
Based on 8.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$84.65
20.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ACM is currently trading at $67.74, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $68.73 to $71.70. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.1) compared to its historical average (13.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 28.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $66.55. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $104.96 (+54.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $66.55. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $104.96 (+54.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$68.73 -
$71.70
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 54.9% below Wall St target ($104.96)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$68.73 -
$71.70
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$66.55
Resistance Level
$71.63
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.08
Wall Street Target
$104.96
(+54.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
28.5%
Profit Margin
3.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.1 vs 13.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$61.03
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$54.99
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$49.55
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→14)
$67.83
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.1%)
$206.24
(+205%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.1, Growth: 12.1%)
$95.46
(+41%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.6, Growth: 12.1%)
$81.14
(+20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.79
Bull Case
$103.17
(+52%)
Analyst growth 40.3%, PE expands to 15.4
Base Case
$93.79
(+39%)
Market implied 40.3%, PE stable at 14.0
Bear Case
$45.46
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.1 to 13.8
Stabilization Target:
$92.73
(+36.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+36.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 7:23 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:23 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:23 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ACM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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