ECL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ECL - Ecolab, Inc.
$248.88
-0.74 (-0.30%)
▼
5d:
-2.99%
30d:
-7.95%
90d:
-17.23%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ECL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ECL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$372.28
Based on 9.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$231.16
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ECL is currently trading at $248.88, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $255.97 to $272.86. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 25.9) compared to its historical average (30.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 7.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ECL is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $248.60. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ECL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $317.48 (+27.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ECL is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $248.60. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ECL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $317.48 (+27.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$255.97 -
$272.86
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ECL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.6% below Wall St target ($317.48)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$255.97 -
$272.86
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$248.60
Resistance Level
$265.79
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.88
Wall Street Target
$317.48
(+27.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
7.8%
Profit Margin
12.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
25.9 vs 30.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$236.68
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$225.09
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$214.06
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→30)
$248.15
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.9, Growth: 14.4%)
$372.71
(+50%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 14.4%)
$317.42
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: 14.4%)
$269.81
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.78 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.39
Bull Case
$357.34
(+44%)
Analyst growth 30.1%, PE expands to 37.2
Base Case
$324.85
(+31%)
Market implied 30.1%, PE stable at 33.8
Bear Case
$169.74
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 25.9 to 30.0
Stabilization Target:
$288.52
(+15.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 9:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:36 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:36 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ECL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
Tracy B Mckibben
SELL
1265 shares
2026-02-25
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ECL price and gamma walls.
