EPC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EPC - Edgewell Personal Care Company
$15.93
-0.75 (-4.50%)
▼
5d:
-25.04%
30d:
-28.82%
90d:
-27.23%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: EPC is down 25.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: EPC is down 25.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$26.39
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.38
2.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EPC is currently trading at $15.93, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.76 to $23.54. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.5) compared to its historical average (8.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EPC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.75. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.50 (+53.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EPC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.75. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.50 (+53.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$19.76 -
$23.54
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 53.8% below Wall St target ($24.50)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -25.0% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$19.76 -
$23.54
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.75
Resistance Level
$25.23
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.51
Wall Street Target
$24.50
(+53.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-36.7%
Profit Margin
-3.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.5 vs 8.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.18
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$14.47
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$13.79
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$15.97
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 10.9%)
$63.89
(+301%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.5, Growth: 10.9%)
$21.75
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.4, Growth: 10.9%)
$18.49
(+16%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.5 to 8.7
Stabilization Target:
$18.45
(+15.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 4:12 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:12 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:12 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EPC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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