EPC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

EPC - Edgewell Personal Care Company

PERFUMES, COSMETICS & OTHER TOILET PREPARATIONS
$27.21
-0.30 (-1.09%) ▼
5d: +6.75%
30d: +45.82%
90d: +27.69%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026 30d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: EPC trades at premium valuation expecting 13.6% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.98
Based on 6.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.51
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: EPC is currently trading at $27.21, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.76 to $25.80. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.2) compared to its historical average (9.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 13.6% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, EPC is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $20.87. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: EPC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $18.76 - $25.80
Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 53.3%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.5% above its trading range)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($24.50)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 13.6% growth with 0.6% revenue growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $18.76 - $25.80
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $17.00
Resistance Level $20.87
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.24
Wall Street Target $24.50 (-10.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 0.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -36.7%
Profit Margin -3.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +13.6% premium
PE vs Historical 13.2 vs 9.0 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +13.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $30.91 (+14%)
2-Year Target $35.11 (+29%)
3-Year Target $39.89 (+47%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→9) PE COMPRESSION $27.12 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.4%) $57.07 (+110%)
Base: (SPY PE: 13.2, Growth: 8.4%) $34.68 (+28%)
Bear: (PE: 9.0, Growth: 8.4%) $23.58 (-13%)
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Last updated: July 04, 2026 5:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:23 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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