EXPE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EXPE - Expedia Group, Inc. Common Stock
$217.17
-0.38 (-0.17%)
▼
5d:
-14.09%
30d:
-15.64%
90d:
-4.43%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
EXPE is up 8.6% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $230 2026-06-18 with 1,924 OI. Put ratio: 60% View Scanner →
Strength: 5.3/10
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2 traders called EXPE this week
67% bullish • 1 bearish
67% bullish • 1 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: EXPE is down 14.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: EXPE is down 14.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$463.67
Based on 10.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$287.90
24.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EXPE is currently trading at $217.17, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $229.70 to $259.71. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.5) compared to its historical average (12.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXPE is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $214.34. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $286.33 (+31.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXPE is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $214.34. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $286.33 (+31.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$229.70 -
$259.71
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding EXPE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.8% below Wall St target ($286.33)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -14.1% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$229.70 -
$259.71
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$214.35
Resistance Level
$257.35
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.46
Wall Street Target
$286.33
(+31.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-27.3%
Profit Margin
9.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.5 vs 12.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$198.71
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$181.82
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$166.37
(-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→12)
$217.98
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 16.7%)
$803.31
(+270%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.5, Growth: 16.7%)
$344.95
(+59%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.0, Growth: 16.7%)
$293.20
(+35%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.24 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.31
Bull Case
$478.61
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 21.2
Base Case
$435.10
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 19.2
Bear Case
$147.93
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.5 to 12.4
Stabilization Target:
$284.54
(+31.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+31.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 6:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:29 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:29 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EXPE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Robert J Dzielak
SELL
8225 shares
2026-03-04
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-24
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-05
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Advanced EXPE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's EXPE price and gamma walls.
