FIGS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FIGS - FIGS, Inc.
$11.97
-0.24 (-1.97%)
▼
5d:
-22.12%
30d:
-22.22%
90d:
+17.35%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
FIGS is down 22.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $10 2026-07-17 with 12,029 OI. Call ratio: 71% View Scanner →
Strength: 10.0/10
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4 traders called FIGS this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FIGS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: FIGS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.21
Based on 12.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.83
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FIGS is currently trading at $11.97, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.07 to $15.93. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 37.3) compared to its historical average (74.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 20.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 748.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FIGS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $10.76, while resistance sits at $15.77.
Market Sentiment: FIGS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.62 (+47.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FIGS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $10.76, while resistance sits at $15.77.
Market Sentiment: FIGS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.62 (+47.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$13.07 -
$15.93
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding FIGS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 47.2% below Wall St target ($17.62)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-22.1%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.07 -
$15.93
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.76
Resistance Level
$15.77
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
37.27
Wall Street Target
$17.63
(+47.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
28.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
748.3%
Profit Margin
6.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-20.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
37.3 vs 74.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-20.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.77
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$9.70
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$8.73
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 37→75)
$17.49
(+46%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 37.3, Growth: 20.5%)
$20.93
(+75%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 20.5%)
$12.38
(+3%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: 20.5%)
$10.52
(-12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (54x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (37x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 54.41 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.22
Bull Case
$19.22
(+61%)
Analyst growth 46.0%, PE expands to 59.9
Base Case
$17.48
(+46%)
Market implied 46.0%, PE stable at 54.4
Bear Case
$8.14
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 46.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 37.3 to 74.7
Stabilization Target:
$23.99
(+100.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+100.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 10:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:18 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:18 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FIGS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
62335 shares
2026-04-02
Sarah Oughtred
SELL
10872 shares
2026-04-02
Heather L Hasson
SELL
556327 shares
2026-03-03
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Advanced FIGS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FIGS price and gamma walls.
