FLR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FLR - Fluor Corporation

HEAVY CONSTRUCTION OTHER THAN BLDG CONST - CONTRACTORS
$46.19
-0.77 (-1.64%) ▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 17, 2026 16d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FLR is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$54.17
Based on 5.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$33.64
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FLR is currently trading at $46.19, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $41.49 to $45.78. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 20.1) compared to its historical average (18.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FLR is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $47.37. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: FLR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $41.49 - $45.78
Company Quality Score 63/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 58.1%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($50.50)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $41.49 - $45.78
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $42.79
Resistance Level $47.37
Current Trend Sideways

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 20.12
Wall Street Target $50.50 (+7.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -17.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 1426.8%
Profit Margin 21.7%
Valuation Premium vs History +3.6% premium
PE vs Historical 20.1 vs 18.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +3.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $48.65 (+4%)
2-Year Target $50.40 (+7%)
3-Year Target $52.22 (+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 20→18) PE COMPRESSION $46.98 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 6.2%) $62.36 (+33%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 6.2%) $56.26 (+20%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 6.2%) $47.82 (+2%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 2.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $19.80
Bull Case $25.73 (-44%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 2.6
Base Case $23.39 (-49%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 2.4
Bear Case $31.81 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 2.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 12:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:36 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced FLR Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FLR price and gamma walls.

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