FORM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FORM - FormFactor Inc.
$91.41
-6.52 (-6.66%)
▼
5d:
-5.96%
30d:
-7.55%
90d:
+57.44%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
29d
Smart Money Distribution
FORM is up 5.5% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $50 2026-04-17 with 1,257 OI. Put ratio: 68% View Scanner →
Strength: 4.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FORM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: FORM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$98.31
Based on 12.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$61.04
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FORM is currently trading at $91.41, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $89.56 to $100.64. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 41.0) is in line with its historical norms (41.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 131.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FORM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $89.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FORM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $89.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$89.56 -
$100.64
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.3%
Protect Your Profits
Holding FORM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.7%)
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($84.11)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.0%) - monitor closely
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$89.56 -
$100.64
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$89.00
Resistance Level
$110.09
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
40.97
Wall Street Target
$84.11
(-8.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
131.8%
Profit Margin
6.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
41.0 vs 41.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$91.04
(0%)
2-Year Target
$90.68
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$90.32
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 41→41)
$91.26
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 41.0, Growth: 20.3%)
$159.20
(+74%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 20.3%)
$86.84
(-5%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 20.3%)
$73.82
(-19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (48x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (41x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 47.62 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.04
Bull Case
$117.37
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 50.0
Base Case
$97.20
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 47.6
Bear Case
$74.36
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 42.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 41.0 to 41.4
Stabilization Target:
$92.37
(+1.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 5:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:53 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FORM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
16
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Mike Slessor
SELL
10227 shares
2026-03-18
Aric Brendan Mckinnis
SELL
3462 shares
2026-03-05
Brian C White
SELL
2300 shares
2026-02-24
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