GIII Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GIII - G-Iii Apparel Group Ltd
$29.75
0.32 (1.09%)
▲
5d:
-4.95%
30d:
+0.1%
90d:
-1.06%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 05, 2026
20d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GIII shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GIII shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.15
Based on 2.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.34
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GIII is currently trading at $29.75, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.38 to $31.54. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.2) is in line with its historical norms (9.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GIII is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $29.07. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GIII is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $29.07. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$29.38 -
$31.54
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($31.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.5% growth with -8.1% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$29.38 -
$31.54
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$29.07
Resistance Level
$32.35
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.16
Wall Street Target
$31.00
(+4.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-27.8%
Profit Margin
2.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.5% premium
PE vs Historical
10.2 vs 9.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.49
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$31.26
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$32.04
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$29.65
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 1.0%)
$66.57
(+124%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.2, Growth: 1.0%)
$30.67
(+3%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.6, Growth: 1.0%)
$26.07
(-12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.49 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.51
Bull Case
$62.81
(+111%)
Analyst growth 94.0%, PE expands to 21.4
Base Case
$57.10
(+92%)
Market implied 94.0%, PE stable at 19.5
Bear Case
$20.01
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 10:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:18 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:18 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GIII showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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