GIII Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GIII - G-Iii Apparel Group Ltd
$33.50
-0.07 (-0.21%)
▼
5d:
+0.36%
30d:
+2.82%
90d:
+21.11%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GIII shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GIII shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.47
Based on 2.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.16
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GIII is currently trading at $33.50, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.57 to $34.66. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.4) compared to its historical average (9.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GIII is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $31.36, while resistance sits at $36.53.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.33 (+17.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GIII is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $31.36, while resistance sits at $36.53.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.33 (+17.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$32.57 -
$34.66
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($39.33)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 5.2% growth expectation is conservative given 782% recent growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$32.57 -
$34.66
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.36
Resistance Level
$36.53
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.44
Wall Street Target
$39.33
(+17.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
782.4%
Profit Margin
4.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.2% premium
PE vs Historical
11.4 vs 9.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$35.24
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$37.07
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$39.00
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$33.42
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 1.0%)
$65.79
(+96%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.4, Growth: 1.0%)
$34.54
(+3%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.7, Growth: 1.0%)
$29.36
(-12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.82 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.84
Bull Case
$38.09
(+14%)
Analyst growth 3.2%, PE expands to 13.0
Base Case
$34.63
(+3%)
Market implied 3.2%, PE stable at 11.8
Bear Case
$22.83
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 1:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:23 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:23 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GIII showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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