GRMN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GRMN - Garmin Ltd
$226.00
-4.16 (-1.81%)
▼
5d:
-5.32%
30d:
-10.61%
90d:
+9.97%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
28d
Smart Money Accumulation
GRMN is down 4.6% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $200 2026-05-15 with 10 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 7.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GRMN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: GRMN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$324.07
Based on 6.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$201.22
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GRMN is currently trading at $226.00, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $233.38 to $249.75. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.2) is in line with its historical norms (23.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 21.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GRMN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $227.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $260.25 (+15.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GRMN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $227.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $260.25 (+15.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$233.38 -
$249.75
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding GRMN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($260.25)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.3% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$233.38 -
$249.75
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$14.48
(6.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$227.95
Resistance Level
$245.83
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.22
Wall Street Target
$260.25
(+15.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
21.2%
Profit Margin
23.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.2 vs 23.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$221.48
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$217.05
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$212.71
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→24)
$225.91
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 8.4%)
$289.32
(+28%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.2, Growth: 8.4%)
$287.66
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.9, Growth: 8.4%)
$244.51
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.02 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.60
Bull Case
$302.27
(+27%)
Analyst growth 18.3%, PE expands to 29.7
Base Case
$274.79
(+15%)
Market implied 18.3%, PE stable at 27.0
Bear Case
$158.00
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.2 to 23.6
Stabilization Target:
$240.02
(+6.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 12:18 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:18 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:18 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GRMN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
12
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Douglas G Boessen
SELL
3487 shares
2026-02-26
Matthew Munn
SELL
5275 shares
2026-02-26
Patrick Desbois
SELL
6694 shares
2026-02-26
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Advanced GRMN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GRMN price and gamma walls.
