HPE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HPE - Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company
$22.61
-1.33 (-5.56%)
▼
5d:
+1.3%
30d:
+5.31%
90d:
-7.68%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 02, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
HPE is down 4.3% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $24 2026-05-15 with 3,039 OI. Call ratio: 71% View Scanner →
Strength: 4.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HPE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HPE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$34.62
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.50
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HPE is currently trading at $22.61, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.64 to $23.21. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.3) is in line with its historical norms (8.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HPE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $21.16, while resistance sits at $26.43. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: HPE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.01 (+15.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HPE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $21.16, while resistance sits at $26.43. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: HPE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.01 (+15.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$20.64 -
$23.21
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
69.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($26.01)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$20.64 -
$23.21
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.16
Resistance Level
$26.43
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.29
Wall Street Target
$26.01
(+15.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-30.3%
Profit Margin
-0.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.3 vs 8.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.43
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$22.25
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$22.07
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$22.63
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 12.8%)
$87.45
(+287%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.3, Growth: 12.8%)
$32.44
(+44%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.0, Growth: 12.8%)
$27.58
(+22%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.3 to 8.5
Stabilization Target:
$23.18
(+2.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 9:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:02 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:02 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HPE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
13
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Antonio F Neri
SELL
26457 shares
2025-12-29
Kirt P Karros
SELL
36460 shares
2025-12-24
Fidelma Russo
SELL
126512 shares
2025-12-11
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Advanced HPE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HPE price and gamma walls.
