HPQ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HPQ - HP Inc.
$20.82
0.01 (0.02%)
▲
5d:
-3.95%
30d:
+4.7%
90d:
+12.57%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 27, 2026
8d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 9.0/10
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3 traders called HPQ this week
67% bullish • 1 bearish
67% bullish • 1 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HPQ shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HPQ shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.31
Based on 3.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.48
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HPQ is currently trading at $20.82, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.35 to $21.34. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.0) is in line with its historical norms (6.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HPQ is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $20.37. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HPQ is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $20.37. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$19.35 -
$21.34
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($19.43)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.2% growth with 6.9% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$19.35 -
$21.34
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.37
Resistance Level
$22.78
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.00
Wall Street Target
$19.43
(-6.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-1.7%
Profit Margin
4.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.2% premium
PE vs Historical
7.0 vs 6.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.27
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$21.74
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$22.21
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$20.96
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 3.0%)
$71.75
(+245%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.0, Growth: 3.0%)
$22.75
(+9%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.9, Growth: 3.0%)
$19.33
(-7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 7.87 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.64
Bull Case
$25.74
(+24%)
Analyst growth 12.7%, PE expands to 8.7
Base Case
$23.40
(+12%)
Market implied 12.7%, PE stable at 7.9
Bear Case
$14.12
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 1:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:40 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HPQ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-01-29
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-01-06
Ketan M Patel
SELL
33321 shares
2025-12-26
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