ICE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ICE - Intercontinental Exchange Inc.
$173.78
-1.32 (-0.75%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 05, 2026
4d
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4 traders called ICE this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ICE is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: ICE is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$222.42
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$138.11
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ICE is currently trading at $173.78, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $162.76 to $173.05. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.3) is in line with its historical norms (21.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ICE is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $169.42. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ICE is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $169.42. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$162.76 -
$173.05
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ICE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($191.86)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$162.76 -
$173.05
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$169.42
Resistance Level
$176.05
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.33
Wall Street Target
$191.86
(+9.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
24.6%
Profit Margin
32.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.2% premium
PE vs Historical
23.3 vs 21.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$178.95
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$182.89
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$186.91
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→22)
PE COMPRESSION
$175.44
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.3, Growth: 8.5%)
$223.74
(+28%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 8.5%)
$213.84
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 8.5%)
$181.76
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.47 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.48
Bull Case
$259.76
(+50%)
Analyst growth 36.9%, PE expands to 34.6
Base Case
$236.15
(+36%)
Market implied 36.9%, PE stable at 31.5
Bear Case
$117.26
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 12:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:59 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:59 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ICE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
11
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Mayur Kapani
SELL
10082 shares
2025-10-08
Ro Khanna
SELL
2025-09-29
Thomas H. Kean, Jr.
BUY
2025-09-25
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