IMO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IMO - Imperial Oil Limited
$133.19
-0.69 (-0.52%)
▼
5d:
-1.14%
30d:
+5.1%
90d:
+12.39%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 31, 2026
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1 traders called IMO this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: IMO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: IMO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$85.99
Based on -9.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$53.39
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IMO is currently trading at $133.19, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $125.36 to $134.24. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.8) is in line with its historical norms (14.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IMO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $124.31, while resistance sits at $139.44.
Market Sentiment: IMO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $95.06. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IMO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $124.31, while resistance sits at $139.44.
Market Sentiment: IMO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $95.06. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$125.36 -
$134.24
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 28.6% above Wall St target ($95.06)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$125.36 -
$134.24
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$124.31
Resistance Level
$139.44
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.84
Wall Street Target
$95.06
(-28.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-23.0%
Profit Margin
6.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.8 vs 14.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$129.46
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$125.84
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$122.31
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→14)
$133.39
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: -22.9%)
$166.32
(+25%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.8, Growth: -22.9%)
$97.10
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.9, Growth: -22.9%)
$82.53
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.13 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.30
Bull Case
$294.54
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 34.3
Base Case
$267.76
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 31.1
Bear Case
$91.04
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.8 to 14.0
Stabilization Target:
$145.25
(+9.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 26, 2026 7:25 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:25 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:25 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IMO showing a specific setup today?
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