JBL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JBL - Jabil Inc.
$338.73
-1.09 (-0.32%)
▼
5d:
-7.26%
30d:
+5.3%
90d:
+31.6%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 16, 2026
28d
Smart Money Accumulation
JBL is down 4.3% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $470 2026-06-18 with 487 OI. Call ratio: 63% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: JBL trades at premium valuation expecting 5.5% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: JBL trades at premium valuation expecting 5.5% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$482.50
Based on 11.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$299.60
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JBL is currently trading at $338.73, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $299.99 to $352.25. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 23.3) compared to its historical average (19.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JBL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $332.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JBL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $332.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$299.99 -
$352.25
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding JBL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($311.00)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.5% growth which is achievable
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-7.3%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$299.99 -
$352.25
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$332.52
Resistance Level
$372.37
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.26
Wall Street Target
$311.00
(-8.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
96.2%
Profit Margin
2.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.5% premium
PE vs Historical
23.3 vs 19.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$357.36
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$377.01
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$397.75
(+17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$338.65
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.3, Growth: 17.9%)
$555.36
(+64%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 17.9%)
$527.77
(+56%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.8, Growth: 17.9%)
$448.60
(+32%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (46x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 45.86 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.41
Bull Case
$734.78
(+117%)
Analyst growth 96.6%, PE expands to 50.5
Base Case
$667.98
(+97%)
Market implied 96.6%, PE stable at 45.9
Bear Case
$231.08
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 39.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 6:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:01 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:01 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JBL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
19
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Andrew Priestley
SELL
3169 shares
2026-04-20
Steven D Borges
SELL
5126 shares
2026-04-17
May Yee Yap
SELL
1634 shares
2026-04-16
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Advanced JBL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's JBL price and gamma walls.
