Is KBH stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, KBH is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: KBH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of KBH stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for KBH to be between $52.15 and $62.05. The current price is $52.04.

What is the analyst price target for KBH?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for KBH is $56.92. This implies a potential upside of 10.0% from current levels.

KBH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

KBH - KB Home

OPERATIVE BUILDERS

$52.04

0.29 (0.56%) ▲

5d: -0.15%

30d: -14.01%

90d: -8.62%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Mar 24, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: KBH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$98.68

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$61.27

15.1% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.5x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: KBH is currently trading at $52.04, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $52.15 to $62.05. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.7) is in line with its historical norms (10.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, KBH is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $49.60, while resistance sits at $53.67.

Market Sentiment: KBH has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Fair Price Range $52.15 - $62.05

Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 55.7%

All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($56.92)
BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.8% growth with -22.6% revenue growth

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $52.15 - $62.05

Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $49.60

Resistance Level $53.67

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Apr 1, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 10.72

Wall Street Target $56.92 (+10.0%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) -22.6%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -65.1%

Profit Margin 6.0%

Valuation Premium vs History +0.8% premium

PE vs Historical 10.7 vs 10.5 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +0.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $52.16 (+1%)

2-Year Target $52.58 (+2%)

3-Year Target $53.00 (+2%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 11→11) PE COMPRESSION $51.90 (+0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 45.5%) $332.07 (+542%)

Base: (SPY PE: 10.7, Growth: 45.5%) $159.32 (+208%)

Bear: (PE: 9.1, Growth: 45.5%) $135.42 (+162%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

Trailing PE: 8.32 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.15

Bull Case $49.58 (-7%)

Analyst growth -11.9%, PE expands to 9.2

Base Case $45.08 (-15%)

Market implied -11.9%, PE stable at 8.3

Bear Case $34.78 (-35%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.1

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: April 01, 2026 12:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:54 PM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Albert Z Praw SELL 20284 shares 2025-11-04

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