LEN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LEN - Lennar Corporation Class A
$88.86
0.03 (0.03%)
▲
5d:
+7.97%
30d:
-5.65%
90d:
-23.53%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 15, 2026
23d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 4.9/10
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2 traders called LEN this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LEN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LEN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$180.32
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$111.96
20.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LEN is currently trading at $88.86, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $85.38 to $92.47. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.7) is in line with its historical norms (12.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LEN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $88.79. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LEN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LEN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $88.79. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LEN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$85.38 -
$92.47
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($91.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$85.38 -
$92.47
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$81.18
Resistance Level
$88.79
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.71
Wall Street Target
$91.50
(+3.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-13.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-52.6%
Profit Margin
5.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.7 vs 12.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$87.53
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$86.21
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$84.92
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
$88.49
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 25.7%)
$331.51
(+273%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.7, Growth: 25.7%)
$176.50
(+99%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.0, Growth: 25.7%)
$150.02
(+69%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.78 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.95
Bull Case
$106.71
(+20%)
Analyst growth 9.2%, PE expands to 14.1
Base Case
$97.01
(+9%)
Market implied 9.2%, PE stable at 12.8
Bear Case
$60.40
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.7 to 12.2
Stabilization Target:
$92.60
(+4.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 22, 2026 6:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:05 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:05 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LEN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2026-01-09
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2025-12-19
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