DHI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DHI - D.R. Horton Inc.
$143.73
-0.41 (-0.28%)
▼
5d:
+6.16%
30d:
-12.48%
90d:
-12.49%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 21, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.0/10
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1 traders called DHI this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: DHI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: DHI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$223.32
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$138.66
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DHI is currently trading at $143.73, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $140.11 to $155.71. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.9) is in line with its historical norms (12.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DHI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $133.84, while resistance sits at $148.28.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $165.29 (+15.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DHI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $133.84, while resistance sits at $148.28.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $165.29 (+15.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$140.11 -
$155.71
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($165.29)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$140.11 -
$155.71
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$133.84
Resistance Level
$148.28
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.92
Wall Street Target
$165.29
(+15.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-13.2%
Profit Margin
9.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.9 vs 12.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$143.01
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$142.30
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$141.58
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
$143.68
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 13.9%)
$392.13
(+173%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.9, Growth: 13.9%)
$212.63
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.1, Growth: 13.9%)
$180.73
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.65
Bull Case
$179.46
(+25%)
Analyst growth 13.2%, PE expands to 14.9
Base Case
$163.14
(+14%)
Market implied 13.2%, PE stable at 13.5
Bear Case
$98.02
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.9 to 12.1
Stabilization Target:
$145.85
(+1.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 22, 2026 6:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:06 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:06 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DHI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
3
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
Aron M Odom
SELL
260 shares
2026-02-13
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