KBR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

KBR - KBR, Inc.

HEAVY CONSTRUCTION OTHER THAN BLDG CONST - CONTRACTORS
$35.81
-1.19 (-3.22%) ▼
5d: -5.36%
30d: -15.2%
90d: -10.96%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: KBR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$55.40
Based on 5.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.40
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: KBR is currently trading at $35.81, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.82 to $41.11. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.4) compared to its historical average (10.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 52.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, KBR is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $36.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $53.22 (+48.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $36.82 - $41.11
Company Quality Score 60/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 74.8%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.2%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 48.6% below Wall St target ($53.22)
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.4% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $36.82 - $41.11
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $36.19
Resistance Level $38.34
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.37
Wall Street Target $53.22 (+48.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -10.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 52.4%
Profit Margin 5.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -5.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical 8.4 vs 10.0 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -5.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $33.73 (-6%)
2-Year Target $31.78 (-11%)
3-Year Target $29.93 (-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8→10) $35.77 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 6.6%) $115.94 (+224%)
Base: (SPY PE: 8.4, Growth: 6.6%) $43.41 (+21%)
Bear: (PE: 7.1, Growth: 6.6%) $36.89 (+3%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.49
Bull Case $50.40 (+33%)
Analyst growth 22.9%, PE expands to 11.8
Base Case $45.82 (+21%)
Market implied 22.9%, PE stable at 10.7
Bear Case $25.36 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.4 to 10.0
Stabilization Target: $42.80 (+19.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +19.5%
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Last updated: March 30, 2026 10:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:22 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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