KEYS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KEYS - Keysight Technologies, Inc.
$349.01
-12.54 (-3.47%)
▼
5d:
-3.13%
30d:
+5.77%
90d:
+49.46%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 19, 2026
TODAY
Smart Money Accumulation
KEYS is down 3.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $400 2026-06-18 with 622 OI. Call ratio: 69% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: KEYS trades at premium valuation expecting 7.0% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: KEYS trades at premium valuation expecting 7.0% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$414.53
Based on 10.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$257.39
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KEYS is currently trading at $349.01, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $322.64 to $358.48. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 33.8) compared to its historical average (27.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KEYS is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $347.75. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KEYS is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $347.75. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$322.64 -
$358.48
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding KEYS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.5%)
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($320.15)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 7.0% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$322.64 -
$358.48
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$347.75
Resistance Level
$370.18
Current Trend
Support Break
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
33.77
Wall Street Target
$320.15
(-8.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
68.0%
Profit Margin
17.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.0% premium
PE vs Historical
33.8 vs 27.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$373.44
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$399.58
(+15%)
3-Year Target
$427.55
(+23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 34→28)
PE COMPRESSION
$349.41
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 33.8, Growth: 16.0%)
$544.59
(+56%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 16.0%)
$355.88
(+2%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.8, Growth: 16.0%)
$302.50
(-13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (34x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 40.16 | Forward EPS (Implied): $8.69
Bull Case
$421.43
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 42.2
Base Case
$349.01
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 40.2
Bear Case
$266.99
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 36.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 5:55 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:55 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:55 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KEYS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
18
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-30
Jeffrey K Li
SELL
2000 shares
2026-03-24
Neil Dougherty
SELL
2000 shares
2026-03-24
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Advanced KEYS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's KEYS price and gamma walls.
