KIM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

KIM - Kimco Realty Corp.

REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS
$22.32
0.10 (0.45%) ▲
5d: -1.67%
30d: -5.22%
90d: +9.63%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

KIM is down 3.6% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $25 2026-05-15 with 22 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →

Strength: 6.8/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: KIM shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.06
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.66
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: KIM is currently trading at $22.32, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.59 to $23.47. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 25.7) is in line with its historical norms (26.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, KIM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.11. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.85 (+11.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $22.59 - $23.47
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 77.1%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($24.85)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $22.59 - $23.47
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $22.11
Resistance Level $23.43
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 25.71
Wall Street Target $24.85 (+11.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 3.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -6.8%
Profit Margin 27.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical 25.7 vs 26.6 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $22.07 (-1%)
2-Year Target $21.83 (-2%)
3-Year Target $21.59 (-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 26→27) $22.34 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 25.7, Growth: 9.5%) $29.33 (+31%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 9.5%) $25.49 (+14%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 9.5%) $21.67 (-3%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.24 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.82
Bull Case $25.85 (+14%)
Analyst growth 5.2%, PE expands to 30.0
Base Case $23.50 (+4%)
Market implied 5.2%, PE stable at 27.2
Bear Case $15.19 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 25.7 to 26.6
Stabilization Target: $23.09 (+3.4%)
PE Expansion Potential: +3.4%
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Last updated: March 31, 2026 9:20 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:20 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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