KMI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

KMI - Kinder Morgan, Inc.

NATURAL GAS TRANSMISSION
$33.63
0.23 (0.69%) ▲
5d: +7.07%
30d: +5.79%
90d: +4.05%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your KMI Gains
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 15, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

KMI is down 3.4% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $35 2026-06-18 with 12,879 OI. Call ratio: 66% View Scanner →

Strength: 3.4/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: KMI is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$39.31
Based on 4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.41
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: KMI is currently trading at $33.63, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.57 to $32.90. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.1) is in line with its historical norms (21.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, KMI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $33.82. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: KMI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $31.57 - $32.90
Company Quality Score 65/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 58.1%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($35.33)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $31.57 - $32.90
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $30.88
Resistance Level $33.82
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of May 15, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 22.12
Wall Street Target $35.33 (+5.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 13.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 36.0%
Profit Margin 18.9%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.4% premium
PE vs Historical 22.1 vs 21.2 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $34.10 (+1%)
2-Year Target $34.58 (+3%)
3-Year Target $35.06 (+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 22→21) PE COMPRESSION $33.60 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.1, Growth: 4.1%) $37.91 (+13%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 4.1%) $37.82 (+13%)
Bear: (PE: 18.8, Growth: 4.1%) $32.15 (-4%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.49
Bull Case $37.49 (+12%)
Analyst growth 2.0%, PE expands to 24.7
Base Case $34.08 (+1%)
Market implied 2.0%, PE stable at 22.4
Bear Case $22.71 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: May 16, 2026 11:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:36 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
10
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael P Garthwaite SELL 1550 shares 2026-04-16
John W Schlosser SELL 6166 shares 2026-04-06
Michael P Garthwaite SELL 1550 shares 2026-03-16

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Advanced KMI Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's KMI price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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