KRG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KRG - Kite Realty Group Trust
$23.49
0.22 (0.95%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 17, 2026
16d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KRG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KRG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$3.18
Based on -17.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.98
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KRG is currently trading at $23.49, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.21 to $24.00. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 62.9) is in line with its historical norms (59.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KRG is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $23.75. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.00 (+11.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KRG is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $23.75. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.00 (+11.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$23.21 -
$24.00
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($26.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$23.21 -
$24.00
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.58
Resistance Level
$23.75
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
62.89
Wall Street Target
$26.00
(+11.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
80.0%
Profit Margin
16.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.9% premium
PE vs Historical
62.9 vs 59.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.71
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$24.16
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$24.62
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 63→60)
PE COMPRESSION
$23.29
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 62.9, Growth: -39.5%)
$16.96
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: -39.5%)
$6.01
(-74%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: -39.5%)
$5.11
(-78%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 35.44 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.64
Bull Case
$14.42
(-39%)
Analyst growth -42.2%, PE expands to 39.0
Base Case
$13.11
(-44%)
Market implied -42.2%, PE stable at 35.4
Bear Case
$15.42
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 10:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:02 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:02 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KRG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
John A Kite
SELL
50000 shares
2025-09-03
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's KRG price and gamma walls.
