LEN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LEN - Lennar Corporation Class A
$109.35
-1.88 (-1.69%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 19, 2026
Get Alerted When LEN Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
1 traders called LEN this week
0% bullish • 1 bearish
0% bullish • 1 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LEN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: LEN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$221.48
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$137.52
20.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LEN is currently trading at $109.35, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $104.60 to $117.58. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.4) is in line with its historical norms (12.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LEN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $107.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LEN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LEN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $107.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LEN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$104.60 -
$117.58
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
45.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding LEN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($109.69)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$104.60 -
$117.58
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$107.83
Resistance Level
$122.31
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.42
Wall Street Target
$109.69
(-1.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-52.5%
Profit Margin
6.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.4 vs 12.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$110.45
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$109.68
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$108.91
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→13)
$111.36
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 26.2%)
$401.39
(+261%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.4, Growth: 26.2%)
$223.57
(+101%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.6, Growth: 26.2%)
$190.03
(+71%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.88 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.98
Bull Case
$136.76
(+25%)
Analyst growth 12.2%, PE expands to 15.3
Base Case
$124.33
(+14%)
Market implied 12.2%, PE stable at 13.9
Bear Case
$75.34
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.4 to 12.7
Stabilization Target:
$113.73
(+2.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.2%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 2:47 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:47 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:47 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is LEN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Val T. Hoyle
SELL
2025-09-23
Top Rated Residential Construction Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Residential Construction by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
TOL
Toll Brothers Inc |
BUY
19 analysts |
$154 | 63 BUY |
|
DHI
DR Horton Inc |
HOLD
21 analysts |
$162 | 57 HOLD |
|
PHM
PulteGroup Inc |
BUY
17 analysts |
$140 | 60 BUY |
|
TMHC
Taylor Morn Home |
STRONG BUY
10 analysts |
$75 | 50 HOLD |
|
TPH
TRI Pointe Homes Inc |
STRONG BUY
6 analysts |
$38 | 54 HOLD |
Advanced LEN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LEN price and gamma walls.
