LOGI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LOGI - Logitech International SA

COMPUTER PERIPHERAL EQUIPMENT, NEC
$104.65
1.66 (1.61%) ▲
5d: -2.1%
30d: +3.52%
90d: +16.36%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LOGI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$117.13
Based on 2.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$72.73
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LOGI is currently trading at $104.65, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $94.15 to $103.35. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.9) is in line with its historical norms (17.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LOGI is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $97.06, while resistance sits at $110.47.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $113.50 (+10.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $94.15 - $103.35
Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 71.0%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($113.50)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $94.15 - $103.35
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $97.07
Resistance Level $110.47
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of May 15, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 17.88
Wall Street Target $113.50 (+10.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 7.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 3.4%
Profit Margin 14.7%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.1% premium
PE vs Historical 17.9 vs 17.8 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $103.09 (+0%)
2-Year Target $103.20 (+0%)
3-Year Target $103.30 (+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 18→18) PE COMPRESSION $102.85 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.1, Growth: 1.4%) $132.58 (+29%)
Base: (SPY PE: 17.9, Growth: 1.4%) $107.40 (+4%)
Bear: (PE: 15.2, Growth: 1.4%) $91.29 (-11%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.80
Bull Case $133.27 (+29%)
Analyst growth 20.0%, PE expands to 23.1
Base Case $121.15 (+18%)
Market implied 20.0%, PE stable at 21.0
Bear Case $68.65 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: May 18, 2026 10:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:28 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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