LSTR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LSTR - Landstar System Inc
$156.96
0.44 (0.28%)
▲
5d:
+4.38%
30d:
-3.68%
90d:
+7.49%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LSTR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LSTR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$323.00
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$200.56
21.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LSTR is currently trading at $156.96, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $147.18 to $159.00. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.5) is in line with its historical norms (24.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LSTR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $159.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LSTR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (26th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LSTR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $159.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LSTR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (26th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$147.18 -
$159.00
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
26th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 26th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($151.53)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$147.18 -
$159.00
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$7.15
(4.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$145.55
Resistance Level
$159.11
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.47
Wall Street Target
$151.53
(-3.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-46.5%
Profit Margin
2.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
23.5 vs 24.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$154.13
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$151.36
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$148.64
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→25)
$157.07
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.5, Growth: 25.3%)
$308.58
(+97%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 25.3%)
$293.87
(+87%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 25.3%)
$249.79
(+59%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (45x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 45.07 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.30
Bull Case
$327.21
(+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 49.6
Base Case
$297.46
(+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 45.1
Bear Case
$101.14
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 38.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.5 to 24.8
Stabilization Target:
$165.86
(+5.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 11:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:57 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:57 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LSTR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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