LULU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LULU - lululemon athletica inc.
$120.00
0.86 (0.72%)
▲
5d:
-5.02%
30d:
-28.26%
90d:
-32.48%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 04, 2026
16d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.4/10
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34 traders called LULU this week
83% bullish • 7 bearish
83% bullish • 7 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LULU shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: LULU shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$167.93
Based on 0.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$104.27
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LULU is currently trading at $120.00, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $126.37 to $160.48. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.5) compared to its historical average (13.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LULU is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $118.38. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $179.36 (+50.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LULU is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $118.38. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $179.36 (+50.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$126.37 -
$160.48
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding LULU? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 50.5% below Wall St target ($179.36)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.0% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$126.37 -
$160.48
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$118.38
Resistance Level
$135.17
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.49
Wall Street Target
$179.36
(+50.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-18.5%
Profit Margin
14.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.5 vs 13.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$107.23
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$96.50
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$86.85
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→13)
$121.74
(+2%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: -3.7%)
$247.82
(+108%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.5, Growth: -3.7%)
$106.55
(-11%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.1, Growth: -3.7%)
$90.57
(-24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.13 | Current EPS (TTM): $13.26
Bull Case
$126.09
(+6%)
Analyst growth -5.3%, PE expands to 10.0
Base Case
$114.63
(-4%)
Market implied -5.3%, PE stable at 9.1
Bear Case
$82.32
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.5 to 13.3
Stabilization Target:
$166.99
(+40.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+40.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 1:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LULU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
6
Buys
6
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Nicole Neuburger
SELL
622 shares
2026-04-08
Andre Maestrini
BUY
3275 shares
2026-04-01
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
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