LULU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LULU - lululemon athletica inc.
$118.43
2.03 (1.74%)
▲
5d:
+5.68%
30d:
-6.36%
90d:
-25.43%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 04, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LULU trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -8.9% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LULU trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -8.9% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$157.83
Based on 0.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$98.00
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LULU is currently trading at $118.43, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $111.98 to $126.44. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.4) compared to its historical average (12.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LULU is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $109.36, while resistance sits at $136.14.
Market Sentiment: LULU has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $132.16 (+11.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LULU is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $109.36, while resistance sits at $136.14.
Market Sentiment: LULU has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $132.16 (+11.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$111.98 -
$126.44
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($132.16)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$111.98 -
$126.44
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$109.36
Resistance Level
$136.14
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.43
Wall Street Target
$132.16
(+11.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-35.0%
Profit Margin
13.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.4 vs 12.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$107.89
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$98.29
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$89.54
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→13)
$118.66
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -3.7%)
$244.56
(+107%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.4, Growth: -3.7%)
$105.91
(-11%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.0, Growth: -3.7%)
$90.03
(-24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.43 | Current EPS (TTM): $12.35
Bull Case
$130.17
(+10%)
Analyst growth 1.7%, PE expands to 10.4
Base Case
$118.34
(0%)
Market implied 1.7%, PE stable at 9.4
Bear Case
$79.15
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.4 to 12.5
Stabilization Target:
$156.94
(+32.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+32.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 11:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LULU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
5
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Nicole Neuburger
SELL
622 shares
2026-04-08
Andre Maestrini
BUY
3275 shares
2026-04-01
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
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