MBI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MBI - MBIA Inc.
$6.40
-0.27 (-4.05%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 26, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MBI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Company currently unprofitable (negative forward earnings). Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MBI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Company currently unprofitable (negative forward earnings). Moderate conviction.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MBI is currently trading at $6.40, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.57 to $7.16.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MBI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $6.31. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: MBI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.75 (+16.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MBI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $6.31. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: MBI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.75 (+16.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$6.57 -
$7.16
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($7.75)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$6.57 -
$7.16
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.55
(8.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.31
Resistance Level
$7.12
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
-13.34
Wall Street Target
$7.75
(+16.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-54.5%
Profit Margin
-190.3%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 11:57 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:57 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MBI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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Advanced MBI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MBI price and gamma walls.
