MBI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MBI - MBIA Inc.
$5.91
0.20 (3.50%)
▲
5d:
+1.37%
30d:
-11.13%
90d:
-16.05%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
MBI is down 5.5% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $7 2026-05-15 with 553 OI. Call ratio: 83% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MBI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Company currently unprofitable (negative forward earnings). Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MBI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Company currently unprofitable (negative forward earnings). Moderate conviction.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MBI is currently trading at $5.91, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.76 to $6.45.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MBI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $5.95. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: MBI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.25 (+22.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MBI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $5.95. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: MBI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.25 (+22.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$5.76 -
$6.45
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 22.7% below Wall St target ($7.25)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$5.76 -
$6.45
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.38
(6.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.52
Resistance Level
$5.95
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
-14.41
Wall Street Target
$7.25
(+22.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.4%
Profit Margin
-182.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 6:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:49 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MBI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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Advanced MBI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MBI price and gamma walls.
