NOK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

NOK - Nokia Corporation

Radio & Tv Broadcasting & Communications Equipment
$6.43
0.14 (2.23%) ▲
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Jan 29, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NOK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.99
Based on 12.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.44
13.6% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NOK is currently trading at $6.43, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.41 to $6.72. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.6) is in line with its historical norms (17.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NOK is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $6.06, while resistance sits at $7.09.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range $6.41 - $6.72
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 74.8%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($6.70)
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.0% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $6.41 - $6.72
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $6.06
Resistance Level $7.09
Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 16.64
Wall Street Target $6.70 (+6.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 11.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -67.7%
Profit Margin 4.7%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 16.6 vs 17.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $6.18 (-2%)
2-Year Target $6.08 (-3%)
3-Year Target $5.97 (-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 17→18) $6.28 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 21.6%) $15.13 (+141%)
Base: (SPY PE: 16.6, Growth: 21.6%) $11.30 (+80%)
Bear: (PE: 14.1, Growth: 21.6%) $9.60 (+53%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 36.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.19
Bull Case $15.18 (+141%)
Analyst growth 98.9%, PE expands to 40.2
Base Case $13.80 (+119%)
Market implied 98.9%, PE stable at 36.5
Bear Case $4.72 (-25%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.6 to 17.5
Stabilization Target: $6.61 (+5.1%)
PE Expansion Potential: +5.1%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 4:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:08 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced NOK Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NOK price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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