OSK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OSK - Oshkosh Corp.
$139.94
-1.89 (-1.33%)
▼
5d:
-8.82%
30d:
+7.21%
90d:
-4.6%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 8, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026
28d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: OSK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: OSK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$289.76
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$179.92
22.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OSK is currently trading at $139.94, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $131.53 to $146.62. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.0) is in line with its historical norms (10.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OSK is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $135.67. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $163.01 (+16.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OSK is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $135.67. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $163.01 (+16.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$131.53 -
$146.62
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($163.01)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.8% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$131.53 -
$146.62
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$123.19
Resistance Level
$135.67
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.97
Wall Street Target
$163.01
(+16.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-60.5%
Profit Margin
5.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.0 vs 10.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$137.14
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$134.40
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$131.71
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$140.05
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 28.0%)
$641.53
(+358%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.0, Growth: 28.0%)
$293.64
(+110%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.5, Growth: 28.0%)
$249.59
(+78%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.04 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.84
Bull Case
$247.74
(+77%)
Analyst growth 58.8%, PE expands to 17.7
Base Case
$225.22
(+61%)
Market implied 58.8%, PE stable at 16.0
Bear Case
$96.44
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.0 to 10.6
Stabilization Target:
$148.80
(+6.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 09, 2026 4:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:15 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:15 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is OSK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Anupam Khare
SELL
4000 shares
2026-02-27
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