OSK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OSK - Oshkosh Corp.
$128.51
1.39 (1.09%)
▲
5d:
+6.74%
30d:
-16.05%
90d:
-27.37%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 31, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: OSK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: OSK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$295.39
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$183.41
29.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OSK is currently trading at $128.51, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $129.74 to $154.14. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.1) compared to its historical average (10.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OSK is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $116.77, while resistance sits at $140.88.
Market Sentiment: OSK has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $164.79 (+29.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OSK is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $116.77, while resistance sits at $140.88.
Market Sentiment: OSK has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $164.79 (+29.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$129.74 -
$154.14
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.6% below Wall St target ($164.79)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$129.74 -
$154.14
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$116.77
Resistance Level
$140.88
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.05
Wall Street Target
$164.79
(+29.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-60.5%
Profit Margin
5.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.1 vs 10.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$119.87
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$113.04
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$106.60
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→11)
$127.20
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 27.9%)
$645.70
(+408%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.1, Growth: 27.9%)
$265.76
(+109%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.7, Growth: 27.9%)
$225.90
(+78%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.26 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.49
Bull Case
$204.80
(+61%)
Analyst growth 48.0%, PE expands to 14.6
Base Case
$186.18
(+47%)
Market implied 48.0%, PE stable at 13.3
Bear Case
$85.54
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.1 to 10.8
Stabilization Target:
$151.69
(+19.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 22, 2026 4:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:58 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:58 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is OSK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Anupam Khare
SELL
4000 shares
2026-02-27
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