PII Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PII - Polaris Inc.
$63.84
-0.84 (-1.30%)
▼
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 28, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PII shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: PII shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$158.19
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$98.22
35.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PII is currently trading at $63.84, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $65.42 to $70.80. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.9) compared to its historical average (39.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 20.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PII is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $62.58. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PII is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $62.58. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$65.42 -
$70.80
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($68.54)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.6% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$65.42 -
$70.80
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$62.58
Resistance Level
$71.50
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.91
Wall Street Target
$68.54
(+6.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-89.6%
Profit Margin
-6.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-20.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.9 vs 39.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-20.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$58.21
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$52.39
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$47.15
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→39)
$92.62
(+43%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 97.0%)
$244.55
(+278%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 97.0%)
$218.30
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 97.0%)
$185.55
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.9 to 39.1
Stabilization Target:
$127.05
(+96.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+96.4%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 11:27 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:27 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:27 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PII showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced PII Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PII price and gamma walls.
