QCOM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
QCOM - Qualcomm Inc
$176.25
-5.67 (-3.12%)
▼
5d:
-13.98%
30d:
-26.82%
90d:
+38.47%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
25d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 10.0/10
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1 traders called QCOM this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: QCOM is down 14.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: QCOM is down 14.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$185.83
Based on 2.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$115.38
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: QCOM is currently trading at $176.25, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $193.27 to $236.90. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.1) is in line with its historical norms (14.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QCOM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $172.12. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $215.42 (+22.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QCOM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $172.12. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $215.42 (+22.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$193.27 -
$236.90
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding QCOM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 22.2% below Wall St target ($215.42)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -14.0% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$193.27 -
$236.90
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$172.12
Resistance Level
$233.44
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.07
Wall Street Target
$215.42
(+22.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
173.0%
Profit Margin
22.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.7% premium
PE vs Historical
16.1 vs 14.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$181.01
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$185.90
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$190.92
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$175.79
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 1.5%)
$249.97
(+42%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.1, Growth: 1.5%)
$184.47
(+5%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.7, Growth: 1.5%)
$156.80
(-11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.58 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.29
Bull Case
$236.20
(+34%)
Analyst growth 18.0%, PE expands to 21.5
Base Case
$214.73
(+22%)
Market implied 18.0%, PE stable at 19.6
Bear Case
$123.71
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 3:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:47 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:47 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is QCOM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Akash J Palkhiwala
SELL
2500 shares
2026-04-13
Patricia Y Grech
SELL
85 shares
2026-04-02
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-24
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