RSG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RSG - Republic Services Inc.
$223.19
2.54 (1.15%)
▲
5d:
+2.72%
30d:
-3.62%
90d:
+5.31%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
20d
Smart Money Accumulation
RSG is down 3.6% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $230 2026-05-15 with 51 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: RSG shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: RSG shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$289.03
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$179.47
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RSG is currently trading at $223.19, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $218.25 to $228.58. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 27.7) is in line with its historical norms (28.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 7.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RSG is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $224.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: RSG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RSG is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $224.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: RSG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$218.25 -
$228.58
Company Quality Score
67/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
85.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($245.46)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$218.25 -
$228.58
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$210.77
Resistance Level
$224.99
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.74
Wall Street Target
$245.46
(+10.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
7.4%
Profit Margin
12.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
27.7 vs 28.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$220.29
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$217.42
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$214.60
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→29)
$223.56
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.7, Growth: 11.1%)
$306.43
(+37%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.6, Growth: 11.1%)
$227.22
(+2%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.5, Growth: 11.1%)
$193.14
(-14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (28x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.06 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.84
Bull Case
$283.71
(+31%)
Analyst growth 17.6%, PE expands to 35.3
Base Case
$257.92
(+19%)
Market implied 17.6%, PE stable at 32.1
Bear Case
$149.12
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 27.7 to 28.9
Stabilization Target:
$232.51
(+4.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 6:26 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:26 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:26 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RSG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-01-23
Julie Johnson
SELL
2025-12-18
Katharine Weymouth
BUY
478 shares
2025-12-09
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Advanced RSG Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's RSG price and gamma walls.
