RSG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RSG - Republic Services Inc.
$215.09
0.34 (0.16%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 17, 2026
16d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: RSG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: RSG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$231.83
Based on 4.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$143.95
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RSG is currently trading at $215.09, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $210.59 to $215.81. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 29.4) is in line with its historical norms (29.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RSG is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $220.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $244.21 (+13.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RSG is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $220.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $244.21 (+13.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$210.59 -
$215.81
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($244.21)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.1% growth with 3.3% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$210.59 -
$215.81
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$208.14
Resistance Level
$220.00
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
29.41
Wall Street Target
$244.21
(+13.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-2.2%
Profit Margin
12.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.1% premium
PE vs Historical
29.4 vs 29.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$214.96
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$215.18
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$215.39
(+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 29→29)
PE COMPRESSION
$215.30
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 29.4, Growth: 5.8%)
$254.61
(+19%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 5.8%)
$193.04
(-10%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 5.8%)
$164.08
(-24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (29x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.38 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.72
Bull Case
$260.07
(+21%)
Analyst growth 8.7%, PE expands to 35.6
Base Case
$236.42
(+10%)
Market implied 8.7%, PE stable at 32.4
Bear Case
$147.97
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 8:43 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:43 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:43 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RSG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Val T. Hoyle
SELL
2025-09-23
Gregg Brummer
SELL
7338 shares
2025-08-22
Cascade Investment, L.L.…
BUY
4258 shares
2025-08-19
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's RSG price and gamma walls.
