SKY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SKY - Champion Homes, Inc.
$74.37
2.12 (2.93%)
▲
5d:
-0.48%
30d:
-18.09%
90d:
-13.26%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Feb 03, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SKY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SKY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$89.08
Based on 1.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$55.31
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SKY is currently trading at $74.37, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $73.67 to $89.31. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.0) compared to its historical average (22.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SKY is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $71.91, while resistance sits at $77.66.
Market Sentiment: SKY has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $98.60 (+32.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SKY is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $71.91, while resistance sits at $77.66.
Market Sentiment: SKY has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $98.60 (+32.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$73.67 -
$89.31
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.6%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.6% below Wall St target ($98.60)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$73.67 -
$89.31
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$4.84
(6.5%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$71.91
Resistance Level
$77.66
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.98
Wall Street Target
$98.60
(+32.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-8.5%
Profit Margin
8.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.0 vs 22.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$71.62
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$68.97
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$66.42
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→22)
$74.46
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: -1.3%)
$80.06
(+8%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.0, Growth: -1.3%)
$71.58
(-4%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.0, Growth: -1.3%)
$60.84
(-18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 19.34 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.75
Bull Case
$79.20
(+5%)
Analyst growth -0.7%, PE expands to 21.3
Base Case
$72.00
(-4%)
Market implied -0.7%, PE stable at 19.3
Bear Case
$49.33
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.0 to 22.4
Stabilization Target:
$83.37
(+12.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 01, 2026 9:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:41 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:41 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is SKY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Joseph A Kimmell
SELL
2880 shares
2026-03-06
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-02-23
Timothy A Burkhardt
SELL
12183 shares
2025-12-12
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