ST Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ST - Sensata Technologies Holding plc
$48.50
-0.43 (-0.88%)
▼
5d:
+7.95%
30d:
+25.45%
90d:
+31.51%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: ST is 7.5% above its trading range ($45.11). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: ST is 7.5% above its trading range ($45.11). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$52.25
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$32.44
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ST is currently trading at $48.50, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.15 to $45.11. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.0) compared to its historical average (9.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ST is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $49.36. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ST has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ST is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $49.36. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ST has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$38.15 -
$45.11
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.5% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($46.67)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 8.2% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$38.15 -
$45.11
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$40.63
Resistance Level
$49.36
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.02
Wall Street Target
$46.67
(-3.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
25.5%
Profit Margin
1.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.2% premium
PE vs Historical
12.0 vs 9.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$52.48
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$56.78
(+17%)
3-Year Target
$61.44
(+27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$48.56
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 8.8%)
$114.82
(+137%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.0, Growth: 8.8%)
$62.52
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.5, Growth: 8.8%)
$49.42
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 12.03 | Forward EPS (Implied): $4.03
Bull Case
$58.56
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 12.6
Base Case
$48.50
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 12.0
Bear Case
$37.10
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 10.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 5:02 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:02 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:02 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ST showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Lynne J Caljouw
SELL
2913 shares
2026-04-07
Lynne J Caljouw
SELL
2480 shares
2026-03-18
Lynne J Caljouw
SELL
2496 shares
2026-02-12
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