TGNA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TGNA - TEGNA Inc.
$20.03
-0.26 (-1.28%)
▼
5d:
-0.89%
30d:
-4.39%
90d:
+1.68%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 19, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TGNA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 16.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TGNA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 16.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$3.73
Based on -19.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.32
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TGNA is currently trading at $20.03, which is considered fair based on recent price action. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.7) compared to its historical average (7.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 16.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TGNA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.91. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TGNA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.91. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
UNKNOWN
Confidence Score
66.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($22.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 16.7% growth with -18.9% revenue growth
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.91
Resistance Level
$21.06
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 19, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.65
Wall Street Target
$22.00
(+9.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-18.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-69.1%
Profit Margin
8.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+16.7% premium
PE vs Historical
11.7 vs 7.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+16.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.38
(+17%)
2-Year Target
$27.28
(+36%)
3-Year Target
$31.83
(+59%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$19.96
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: -43.5%)
$28.06
(+40%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.6, Growth: -43.5%)
$14.60
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.3, Growth: -43.5%)
$9.15
(-54%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 12:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:53 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TGNA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TGNA price and gamma walls.