TGNA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TGNA - TEGNA Inc.

TELEVISION BROADCASTING STATIONS
$20.03
-0.26 (-1.28%) ▼
5d: -0.89%
30d: -4.39%
90d: +1.68%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 19, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TGNA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 16.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$3.73
Based on -19.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.32
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TGNA is currently trading at $20.03, which is considered fair based on recent price action. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.7) compared to its historical average (7.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 16.7% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TGNA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.91. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation UNKNOWN
Confidence Score 66.2%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($22.00)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 16.7% growth with -18.9% revenue growth

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $19.91
Resistance Level $21.06
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Mar 19, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 11.65
Wall Street Target $22.00 (+9.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -18.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -69.1%
Profit Margin 8.1%
Valuation Premium vs History +16.7% premium
PE vs Historical 11.7 vs 7.3 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +16.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $23.38 (+17%)
2-Year Target $27.28 (+36%)
3-Year Target $31.83 (+59%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 12→7) PE COMPRESSION $19.96 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: -43.5%) $28.06 (+40%)
Base: (SPY PE: 11.6, Growth: -43.5%) $14.60 (-27%)
Bear: (PE: 7.3, Growth: -43.5%) $9.15 (-54%)
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Last updated: May 15, 2026 12:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:53 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced TGNA Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TGNA price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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