TTC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TTC - Toro Company (The)

LAWN & GARDEN TRACTORS & HOME LAWN & GARDENS EQUIP
$93.49
0.05 (0.05%) ▲
5d: -2.27%
30d: -5.72%
90d: +17.58%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 04, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TTC is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$135.10
Based on 8.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$83.88
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TTC is currently trading at $93.49, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $93.62 to $99.47. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.4) is in line with its historical norms (18.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TTC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $90.70. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: TTC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $110.50 (+18.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $93.62 - $99.47
Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 50th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 58.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($110.50)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $93.62 - $99.47
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$4.31 (4.6%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $90.70
Resistance Level $96.79
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Apr 1, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 18.40
Wall Street Target $110.50 (+18.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 32.7%
Profit Margin 7.3%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.7% premium
PE vs Historical 18.4 vs 18.0 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $94.14 (+1%)
2-Year Target $94.80 (+1%)
3-Year Target $95.47 (+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 18→18) PE COMPRESSION $93.41 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 12.3%) $160.72 (+72%)
Base: (SPY PE: 18.4, Growth: 12.3%) $132.29 (+42%)
Bear: (PE: 15.6, Growth: 12.3%) $112.45 (+20%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.82 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.34
Bull Case $155.52 (+66%)
Analyst growth 52.2%, PE expands to 30.6
Base Case $141.38 (+51%)
Market implied 52.2%, PE stable at 27.8
Bear Case $63.19 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: April 02, 2026 4:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:07 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
James Calvin O'rourke SELL 4951 shares 2026-03-10
Richard M Olson SELL 119400 shares 2026-03-10

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