SWK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SWK - Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.
$91.90
0.56 (0.61%)
▲
5d:
-0.44%
30d:
+16.12%
90d:
+29.13%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
24d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.6/10
Get Alerted When SWK Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SWK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SWK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$127.19
Based on 9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$78.98
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SWK is currently trading at $91.90, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $78.32 to $89.03. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.8) compared to its historical average (12.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SWK is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $83.20, while resistance sits at $95.16.
Market Sentiment: SWK has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SWK is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $83.20, while resistance sits at $95.16.
Market Sentiment: SWK has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$78.32 -
$89.03
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($92.78)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.7% growth with 2.7% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$78.32 -
$89.03
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$83.20
Resistance Level
$95.16
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.76
Wall Street Target
$92.78
(+1.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-34.8%
Profit Margin
2.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.7% premium
PE vs Historical
14.8 vs 12.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$96.22
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$100.74
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$105.48
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$92.20
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 15.4%)
$208.55
(+127%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.8, Growth: 15.4%)
$141.31
(+54%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.5, Growth: 15.4%)
$120.11
(+31%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.43 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.44
Bull Case
$200.95
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 41.2
Base Case
$182.68
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 37.4
Bear Case
$62.11
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 10:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:19 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:19 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is SWK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-10
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-05
Gary C. Peters
BUY
2026-01-12
Top Rated Tools & Accessories Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Tools & Accessories by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
LECO
Lincoln Electric Holding… |
BUY
10 analysts |
$297 | 60 BUY |
|
TKR
Timken Company |
BUY
12 analysts |
$137 | 49 HOLD |
|
RBC
RBC Bearings Incorporated |
BUY
9 analysts |
$616 | 53 HOLD |
|
HLMN
Hillman Solutions Corp |
BUY
8 analysts |
$12 | 59 HOLD |
|
SNA
Snap-On Inc |
HOLD
11 analysts |
$393 | 62 BUY |
Advanced SWK Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SWK price and gamma walls.
