VAL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VAL - Valaris Limited
$105.43
2.16 (2.09%)
▲
5d:
+10.96%
30d:
+11.52%
90d:
+9.87%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VAL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: VAL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$212.69
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$132.07
20.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VAL is currently trading at $105.43, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $91.50 to $101.38. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.9) is in line with its historical norms (15.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 446.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VAL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $103.69. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VAL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $72.92. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VAL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $103.69. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VAL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $72.92. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$91.50 -
$101.38
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 30.8% above Wall St target ($72.92)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$91.50 -
$101.38
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$89.23
Resistance Level
$103.69
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.87
Wall Street Target
$72.93
(-30.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-25.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
446.6%
Profit Margin
45.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.9 vs 15.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$104.16
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$102.91
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$101.68
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→15)
$105.34
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 106.5%)
$528.28
(+401%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.9, Growth: 106.5%)
$355.83
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.6, Growth: 106.5%)
$302.45
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 7.23 | Current EPS (TTM): $14.15
Bull Case
$56.39
(-47%)
Analyst growth -49.9%, PE expands to 8.0
Base Case
$51.26
(-51%)
Market implied -49.9%, PE stable at 7.2
Bear Case
$69.54
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.9 to 15.4
Stabilization Target:
$109.22
(+3.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 4:27 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:27 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:27 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VAL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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