VG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VG - Venture Global, Inc.
$11.69
-0.31 (-2.58%)
▼
5d:
-11.91%
30d:
-19.04%
90d:
+25.43%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 7, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026
3d
Smart Money Accumulation
VG is down 11.9% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $15 2026-06-18 with 38,209 OI. Call ratio: 81% View Scanner →
Strength: 9.0/10
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3 traders called VG this week
80% bullish • 1 bearish
80% bullish • 1 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: VG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1.43
Based on -29.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.89
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VG is currently trading at $11.69, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.78 to $14.69. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 26.3) compared to its historical average (37.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 21.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VG is showing support break momentum. Immediate support is located at $11.15, while resistance sits at $13.81.
Market Sentiment: VG has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.74 (+26.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VG is showing support break momentum. Immediate support is located at $11.15, while resistance sits at $13.81.
Market Sentiment: VG has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.74 (+26.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$11.78 -
$14.69
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding VG? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.1% below Wall St target ($14.74)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-11.9%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.78 -
$14.69
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.16
Resistance Level
$13.81
Current Trend
Support Break
Technical data as of
May 7, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.33
Wall Street Target
$14.74
(+26.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
191.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
21.8%
Profit Margin
19.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
26.3 vs 37.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.52
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$9.47
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$8.52
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→37)
$12.04
(+3%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.3, Growth: -62.8%)
$8.52
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: -62.8%)
$7.10
(-39%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.6, Growth: -62.8%)
$6.03
(-48%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 13.04 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.92
Bull Case
$6.60
(-44%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 14.4
Base Case
$6.00
(-49%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 13.0
Bear Case
$8.16
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 26.3 to 37.2
Stabilization Target:
$16.51
(+41.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+41.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 08, 2026 9:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:01 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
16
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jonathan W Thayer
SELL
111111 shares
2026-04-21
Jonathan W Thayer
SELL
111112 shares
2026-04-20
Jonathan W Thayer
SELL
2611111 shares
2026-03-19
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Advanced VG Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's VG price and gamma walls.
