VNT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VNT - Vontier Corporation
$28.62
0.04 (0.14%)
▲
5d:
-5.76%
30d:
+0.81%
90d:
-20.41%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VNT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: VNT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$49.18
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.54
6.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VNT is currently trading at $28.62, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.40 to $29.80. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.7) compared to its historical average (9.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 11.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VNT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $28.31. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.50 (+41.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VNT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $28.31. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.50 (+41.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$28.40 -
$29.80
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 41.5% below Wall St target ($40.50)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.8% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$28.40 -
$29.80
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$28.31
Resistance Level
$31.26
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.73
Wall Street Target
$40.50
(+41.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
11.9%
Profit Margin
13.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.7 vs 9.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.50
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$24.54
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$22.72
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→10)
$28.52
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.0%)
$104.32
(+265%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.7, Growth: 9.0%)
$37.02
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.6, Growth: 9.0%)
$31.47
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.83
Bull Case
$41.13
(+44%)
Analyst growth 30.8%, PE expands to 11.1
Base Case
$37.40
(+31%)
Market implied 30.8%, PE stable at 10.1
Bear Case
$19.43
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.7 to 9.7
Stabilization Target:
$35.92
(+25.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+25.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 6:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:12 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VNT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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